Artificial intelligence

Intelligence Progress

Artificial or Super?

Where AI is going, what it is already changing and how it will affect our lives, up to superintelligence, with what it can and can't do for now. Makers' claims set against what was actually measured, in plain English.

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The question it answers

Where is AI going, and how will it change our lives?

Where AI is going, what it's changing, and what it can and can't do for now: makers' claims set against independent tests, studies with real people, regulators, court records and predictions, checked every morning and explained in plain English.

AI is talked about more than it is tested. Intelligence Progress gathers both, labels which is which, and lets you see the gap.

It never gives its own verdict on whether an AI product is good. Stages are computed from the evidence by published rules, and nobody can pay to change one. AI helps find and summarize material, and it is never allowed to set a stage, a count or a quote.

Who it's for. Written for curious people who use AI, or hear about it constantly, and want to know what it means for their work and life.

The evidence ladder

Never the judge.

It says how far the evidence has got, not how good the AI is. A track record of documented failures and incidents sits beside each stage, never folded into it.

Intelligence ProgressHow far has the evidence got for each task?
  1. Stage 6Widely used with a verified recordTested with real people or cleared by a regulator, used by at least 10% of US adults according to a published survey, with at least three independent studies in people.
  2. Stage 5Regulator-clearedA regulator has cleared or approved it for the task, where approval applies. Tasks no regulator covers are marked “No approval process exists”.
  3. Stage 4Tested with real peopleA randomized trial or field study has tested it with real people doing the task.
  4. Stage 3Independently testedSomeone other than the maker has tested it: an independent benchmark, a peer-reviewed paper, or a hands-on test by a trusted outlet.
  5. Stage 2LaunchedA product that does the task is available to the public, linked and dated.
  6. Stage 1ClaimedA company says, in a passage checked word for word, that its AI can do the task.

Inside the site

On Intelligence Progress

The sections of its home page, in order.

  1. 01What changed today.
  2. 02Can AI do it yet?
  3. 03Agents, on their own.
  4. 04Which AI to use, for what.
  5. 05AI tools, by what you want to do.
  6. 06How close is Super?
  7. 07The race, measured.
  8. 08The money behind AI.
  9. 09When AI gets it wrong.
  10. 10Get more from AI, safely.

Where it meets the series

The sites meet where their fields do.

Questions it shares with the rest of the series.

The rest of the series

Same approach, other fields.

Intelligence Progress summarizes published research, tests and reporting for general information. It is not legal, financial, medical or investment advice. Published by Progress Series Media.